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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+371/-751).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +371.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (16.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (55.6%) to wide receivers this year (55.6%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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