Chris Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+391/-821).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +426 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +391.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game near the end zone this week (9.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Chris Moore has compiled significantly more air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (70%) vs. WRs this year (70.0%).

Favors Under

Chris Moore ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Houston Texans have used motion in their offense on 30.9% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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