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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+330/-625).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +408 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +330.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are an enormous 17.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chris Moore has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (27.0 per game) than he did last season (8.0 per game).

Chris Moore's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 12.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) versus WRs this year (64.0%).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Houston Texans offensive line has given their QB just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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