Chris Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+344/-661).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +398 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +344.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Chris Moore has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (8.0 per game).
Chris Moore's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 12.7.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.8%) to wide receivers this year (68.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Houston Texans offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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