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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.5 per game) this year.

The model projects Chris Godwin to garner 9.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Chris Godwin has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this season (28.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (22.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

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