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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With a sizeable 87.5% Route% (81st percentile) this year, Chris Godwin stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • In this game, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.6 targets.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties project as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Chris Godwin's receiving talent has tailed off this season, totaling just 4.8 adjusted catches compared to 6.8 last season.
  • Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 74.7% to 67.7%.

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