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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 132.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

In this contest, Chris Godwin is projected by the model to position himself in the 86th percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.

With a remarkable 23.2% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Chris Godwin places as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Chris Godwin's play as a receiver has worsened this season, accumulating just 4.9 adjusted catches compared to 6.8 last season.

Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.7% to 65.6%.

The Saints pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.5%) vs. WRs this year (58.5%).

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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