Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
In this contest, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.1 targets.
Chris Godwin has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
This year, the shaky Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Chris Godwin's receiving skills have declined this year, compiling just 4.4 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last year.
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 74.7% to 62.1%.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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