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Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.In this contest, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.1 targets.Chris Godwin has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.This year, the shaky Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.Chris Godwin's receiving skills have declined this year, compiling just 4.4 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last year.Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 74.7% to 62.1%.When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.
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