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Chris Godwin
NFL · Player Props
Chris Godwin
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receptions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Chris Godwin Receptions

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -149.

Favors Over
  • The projections expect Chris Godwin to earn 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.
  • With a remarkable 20.8% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Chris Godwin rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • Chris Godwin's 4.8 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a remarkable regression in his receiving ability over last season's 6.8 rate.
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