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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Chris Godwin to earn 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

With a remarkable 20.8% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Chris Godwin rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

Chris Godwin's 4.8 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a remarkable regression in his receiving ability over last season's 6.8 rate.

More Chris Godwin Player Props

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