Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This week, Chris Godwin is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.4 targets.
With a sizeable 20.7% Target% (77th percentile) this year, Chris Godwin rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
Chris Godwin's pass-catching performance worsened this year, compiling just 4.9 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last year.
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.7% to 68.6%.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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