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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's game, Chris Godwin is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.2 targets.
  • Chris Godwin has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 21.8% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (74.6%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
  • Chris Godwin's 5.0 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a significant decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 6.8 rate.
  • Chris Godwin's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 74.7% to 66.5%.

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