Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to total 8.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 22.3% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 72.4%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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