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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 63.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This week, Chris Godwin is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Godwin has put up quite a few less air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).

As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

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