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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 132.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

In this contest, Chris Godwin is projected by the model to position himself in the 86th percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.

With a remarkable 23.2% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Chris Godwin places as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football.

After averaging 60.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Godwin has been rising this season, now sitting at 77.0 per game.

Chris Godwin's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, averaging 5.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.01 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Chris Godwin has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.7% to 65.6%.

The Saints pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.5%) vs. WRs this year (58.5%).

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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