Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
In this contest, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.1 targets.
Chris Godwin has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Chris Godwin has notched significantly more air yards this season (74.0 per game) than he did last season (60.0 per game).
Chris Godwin's 5.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a significant improvement in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.0% figure.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Chris Godwin has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (51.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 74.7% to 62.1%.
With a subpar 7.2 adjusted yards per target (21st percentile) this year, Chris Godwin rates among the weakest WRs in the game in the league.

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