Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-157/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Chris Godwin has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to accrue 8.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 75.0%.
Chris Godwin's receiving efficiency has declined this season, averaging a mere 7.84 yards-per-target compared to a 9.87 mark last season.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.68 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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