Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 70.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Chris Godwin has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (69.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).
Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 72.1%.
Chris Godwin's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a mere 7.51 yards-per-target vs a 9.83 mark last season.

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