Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-131/-109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to notch 9.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has posted quite a few less receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 79.6% to 70.1%.
Chris Godwin's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 7.17 yards-per-target vs a 9.83 figure last season.
Chris Godwin's skills in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, notching a measly 4.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.16 mark last year.

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