Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to garner 9.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 21.6% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Chris Godwin has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).

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