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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+159/-224).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +168 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (22.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.5% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

Chris Godwin has notched quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).

Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 69.7%.

Chris Godwin grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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