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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+127/-173).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +161 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Chris Godwin has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

Chris Godwin has accumulated a monstrous 64.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among wide receivers.

Chris Godwin's 45.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 76th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 75.0%.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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