Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
Chris Godwin's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 76th percentile for WRs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Favors Under
Chris Godwin has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 79.6% to 70.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.3%) to wideouts this year (64.3%).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 2nd-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 0.46 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.