Chris Godwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-310).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
Chris Godwin's 48.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for wideouts.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin has accrued far fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 71.3%.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 9th-least TDs through the air in football to WRs: 0.75 per game this year.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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