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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+169/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +169.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game near the goal line this week (20.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (68.9%) to WRs this year (68.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • Chris Godwin has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
  • Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 68.9%.

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