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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be starting backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a massive 12.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest rate among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

Chigoziem Okonkwo has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this year (10.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.4%).

The Titans offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

This year, the tough Lions defense has allowed a feeble 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

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