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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

This week, Chigoziem Okonkwo is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 4.3 targets.

This year, the anemic Colts pass defense has allowed a colossal 82.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 25.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 33.0.

As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

With a lackluster 72.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Chigoziem Okonkwo ranks among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs.

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