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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

This year, the feeble Commanders pass defense has conceded a whopping 78.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 10.5% Target Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing attack usage over last season's 16.4% rate.

When talking about pocket protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Titans grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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