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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+133/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The leading projections forecast Chigoziem Okonkwo to garner 4.0 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the projection model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 11.0% Target% this year conveys a meaningful regression in his passing game utilization over last year's 16.4% rate.

The Titans O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

With a poor 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (25th percentile) this year, Chigoziem Okonkwo places among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs.

The Texans pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.6%) vs. tight ends this year (60.6%).

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