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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+152/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.

In this week's game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to finish in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 5.0 targets.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this year (17.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (10.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football (57.6% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Titans.

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.6 plays per game.

The the Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a meager 65.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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