Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 16.2% Target Rate this year marks a remarkable growth in his pass attack workload over last year's 10.8% figure.
This year, the weak Houston Texans pass defense has given up a massive 76.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-highest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Houston's collection of safeties has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

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