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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The model projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo's 16.2% Target Share this year indicates an impressive progression in his passing offense utilization over last year's 10.8% rate.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 71.9% to 67.8%.

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