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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in football (54%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (54.0%).

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