Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-206).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -206.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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