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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) this year.

In this contest, Chigoziem Okonkwo is forecasted by the model to land in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.

The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this contest (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.2% in games he has played).

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a meaningful boost in his receiving talent over last year's 71.8% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.93 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

After totaling 33.0 air yards per game last season, Chigoziem Okonkwo has fallen off this season, now pacing 22.0 per game.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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