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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

This week, Chigoziem Okonkwo is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 4.3 targets.

This year, the weak Colts defense has been gouged for a staggering 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has notched quite a few less air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 25.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 33.0.

As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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