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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, compiling 6.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.76 rate last year.

This year, the shaky Commanders defense has conceded the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a massive 8.62 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 10.5% Target Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing attack usage over last season's 16.4% rate.

After totaling 33.0 air yards per game last season, Chigoziem Okonkwo has undergone a big decline this season, currently boasting 15.0 per game.

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