Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The model projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 4.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 17.3% Target Rate this season marks a remarkable progression in his air attack volume over last season's 10.8% mark.
After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last year, Chigoziem Okonkwo has shown good development this year, currently boasting 31.0 per game.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 27.0 mark.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 71.9% mark.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging just 4.38 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.98 figure last year.

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