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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Our trusted projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to garner 4.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has been a much bigger part of his team's passing game this year (16.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.8%).

Chigoziem Okonkwo has posted significantly more air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

The Falcons defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (56.0) versus tight ends this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

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