Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to earn 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among TEs.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has accumulated a colossal 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 75th percentile for tight ends.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the most effective receivers in the league among TEs, averaging an impressive 8.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the worst TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.