Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (41.6 per game) this year.
The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's 15.9% Target% this year indicates a noteable growth in his pass game usage over last year's 10.8% figure.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Titans to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Titans have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.9% to 66.7%.

More Chigoziem Okonkwo Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow