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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the worst TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

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