Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the weakest TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 5.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in football.

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