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Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be much more involved in his team's passing game this week (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).Chigoziem Okonkwo has been responsible for a monstrous 10.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among TEs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the bottom tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
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