Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to earn 4.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be much more involved in his team's air attack this week (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
Chigoziem Okonkwo has accounted for a whopping 10.7% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.40 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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