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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+427/-959).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +438 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +427.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has accounted for a whopping 10.5% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a mere 56.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (62.2%) vs. tight ends this year (62.2%).

The Tennessee Titans O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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