Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+427/-959).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +438 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +427.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has accounted for a whopping 10.5% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a mere 56.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (62.2%) vs. tight ends this year (62.2%).
The Tennessee Titans O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.