Chase Edmonds Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Chase Edmonds

NFL · Player Props

Chase Edmonds

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Chase Edmonds Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
The Miami Dolphins have faced a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Miami Dolphins have gone no-huddle on 13.9% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
The Miami Dolphins have utilized some form of misdirection on 56.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 8th-least run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chase Edmonds to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game this week (15.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (26.1% in games he has played).
The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

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