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Chase Edmonds

Chase Edmonds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chase Edmonds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chase Edmonds's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 58.2% to 83.3%.

Chase Edmonds ranks as one of the leading RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an exceptional 9.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 77th percentile.

This year, the porous Lions defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a massive 8.36 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Chase Edmonds's 17.3% Route Participation% this season represents a substantial decline in his passing game workload over last season's 31.8% figure.

When talking about air yards, Chase Edmonds ranks in just the 11th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

With a bad 6.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (25th percentile) this year, Chase Edmonds ranks among the weakest running backs in the pass game in football.

Chase Edmonds's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 4.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.08 rate last year.

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