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Chase Edmonds
NFL · Player Props
Chase Edmonds
RB · Miami Dolphins
Carries
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022 Updated Sep 29, 2022 11:40 PM UTC
NFL Props Chase Edmonds Carries

Chase Edmonds Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • Chase Edmonds has earned 41.8% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone no-huddle on 13.9% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Favors Under
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Dolphins rank as the 6th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone for it on 4th down a measly 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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