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Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Chase Claypool Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • Chase Claypool's 50.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 80th percentile for wideouts.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Chase Claypool has been among the worst possession receivers in football, catching a measly 57.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile among WRs
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a measly 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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