Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Chase Claypool has garnered a monstrous 22.8% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With an exceptional 9.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Chase Claypool ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
While Chase Claypool has garnered 15.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Miami's passing attack in this game at 2.5%.
Chase Claypool has been one of the bottom pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging just 12.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 13th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Chase Claypool's 31.9% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 51.9% rate.
Chase Claypool checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging just 4.75 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 18th percentile when it comes to wideouts